New Asthma Around Menopause?What Studies Show About HRT
Menopause & HormonesArticleSome women develop asthma for the first time in midlife, and researchers have long suspected hormones. In a Northern European study of 2,322 women, those who went through menopause had 2 to 3 times the odds of new asthma. But studies of hormone therapy disagree: two cohorts linked HRT, especially estrogen alone, to more new asthma, while a UK study of 353,173 women linked it to less. Here is how to make sense of it.

In this article
Asthma is often thought of as a childhood condition, but some women first develop it in midlife. Because hormones shift so much around menopause, researchers have looked at both menopause itself and hormone therapy. The findings don’t line up neatly.
Does menopause itself raise the risk?
Northern Europe. Researchers followed 2,322 women aged 45 to 65 without asthma and not using hormones, for about 12 years.1
| Stage at follow-up | Odds of new asthma, versus not yet in menopause |
|---|---|
| In the transition | About 2.4 times1 |
| Early postmenopause | About 2.1 times1 |
| Late postmenopause | About 3.4 times1 |
The pattern held regardless of smoking.1
United States, an older study. In a cohort followed through the 1980s, postmenopausal women who had never used hormones had a lower risk of asthma than women before menopause.2 So even the menopause question has conflicting answers; the Northern European authors themselves describe the evidence as limited and conflicting.1
Does hormone therapy raise or lower it?
| Study | Women | Finding |
|---|---|---|
| US cohort, 1980s | Pre- and postmenopausal women aged 34 to 682 | Any HRT use: about 1.5 times the risk; 10+ years: about double2 |
| France | 57,664 women3 | Raised risk mainly with estrogen alone, about 1.5 times; a small rise with combined HRT3 |
| UK, 2000 to 2016 | 353,173 women aged 46 to 704 | Current HRT use went with about 20% lower risk, and longer use with lower risk still4 |
Making sense of it
All of these are observational studies, so none can prove hormones cause or prevent asthma. They differ in era, in the hormone products used, and in how asthma was recorded. The UK authors called for more studies to confirm their result.4
What it means for you:
- New breathlessness, wheeze or a cough at night in midlife deserves a check; don’t assume it’s just menopause or just age.
- If you’re weighing HRT, asthma isn’t a clear reason for or against it on current evidence. Mention your breathing history so it’s part of the decision. See is menopause hormone therapy safe?
- If your asthma changed after starting or stopping HRT, note the dates and tell your doctor.
Try: “I’ve started wheezing and coughing at night for the first time in my fifties, and I began HRT last year. Could the two be linked, and should I have my breathing tested?”
My Body Changed. Now What? covers bringing changes like this to an appointment in Chapter 6, “Nights, Moods and Lost Words,” in a section called “The Visit Brief.” The Visit Brief puts your stage, top three changes, and health and family history on one page, so a new symptom gets a proper look. See the book.
This article is for general educational purposes only and is not medical advice. It isn't a substitute for diagnosis or treatment from a qualified healthcare professional who knows your health history. Don't start or stop hormone therapy because of asthma risk without talking to your prescriber. Get urgent help for severe breathlessness, chest pain, blue lips, or wheezing that doesn't ease with your reliever inhaler. Girl Playbook does not endorse any specific product, test, or provider.
Girl Playbook sells this book. It provides education and worksheets, not individualized medical care.
Sources
The research behind this article, in the order it’s cited. How we source our articles.
- Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology, 2016 study (abstract via PubMed), 2016Menopause as a predictor of new-onset asthma: A longitudinal Northern European population study (opens in a new tab)abcdef
- American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine (abstract via PubMed), 1995Menopause, postmenopausal estrogen preparations, and the risk of adult-onset asthma. A prospective cohort study (opens in a new tab)abc
- Thorax journal (abstract via PubMed), 2010Postmenopausal hormone therapy and asthma onset in the E3N cohort (opens in a new tab)ab
- Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology, 2021 study (abstract via PubMed), 2021Hormone replacement therapy and asthma onset in menopausal women: National cohort study (opens in a new tab)abc
Spotted something out of date? Tell us and we’ll check it.


